As announced last week, News Pundits is running awards for the top pundits who made the most accurate 2008 predictions. For the remainder of this year we will be publishing a list of nominees for each category. If you want to nominate another pundit please do so by providing a link in the comments below.
Christopher Clarey - International Herald Tribune
Chris Rattue - The New Zealand Herald
As announced last week, News Pundits is running awards for the top pundits who made the most accurate 2008 predictions. For the remainder of this year we will be publishing a list of nominees for each category. If you want to nominate another pundit please do so by providing a link in the comments below.
The nominations so far for Business News Pundit 2008 are:
Business Week Staff - Business Week
James Cramer- New York Magazine
Rick Aristotle Munarriz - Motley Fool
UPDATE: The Seeking Alpha article is actually from Investor Trip. Seeking Alpha just aggregated it.
As announced last week, News Pundits is running awards for the top pundits who made the most accurate 2008 predictions. For the remainder of this year we will be publishing a list of nominees for each category. If you want to nominate another pundit please do so by providing a link in the comments below.
Below are the nominations for the politics category:
Cal Thomas and Bob Beckel - USA Today
Rob Christensen - The News & Observer
Daniel Franklin - The Economist
Editorial team - Financial Times
Claude Salhani - Middle East Times
As you can see not many called both the primaries and the presidential elections correctly.
As announced last week, News Pundits is running awards for the top pundits who made the most accurate 2008 predictions. For the remainder of this year we will be publishing a list of nominees for each category. If you want to nominate another pundit please do so by providing a link in the comments below.
Below are the nominations for the tech category.
Richard McManus - ReadWriteWeb
Marshall Kirkpatrick - ReadWriteWeb
Charles Knight - AltSearchEngines
Mark Anderson - reported in Information Week
Louis Gray - LoiusGray.com (Louis reviews his on predictions here)
Michael Malone - Silicon Insider
Don Reisinger - The Digital Home
Ashkan Karbasfrooshan - Hip Mojo
Dion Hinchcliffe - Social Computing
As you can see it is a long list. There are some highly accurate unobvious predictions in there but there are also some stonking misses (e.g. End of DRM, WSJ to go free and Wii falls flat in its face etc). Competition for the wooden spoon could be tight.
Until the disastrous semi-final, it was pretty clear each week who was likely to leave Strictly Come Dancing. Sure, there was the occasional upset, for example when Cheri Lunghi (she of the coffee) lost the dance off against Lisa Snowden, and the shock of Austin Healey being eliminated but in general Sunday nights have been reasonably predictable.
However, now it’s down to the final three, who will win is anybody’s guess. The voting fiasco of the semi-final means that all the votes from last week will be carried over to this week – presumably meaning that Tom Chambers will have received a lot of sympathy votes as he was bottom of the pile on Saturday night.
Austin was of course the firm favourite from the outset. His departure, although unsurprising on the night (the choice of dance played the major role in the judges decision) it did mean that Lisa “dance off queen” Snowdon has made it through to the final.
The last remaining male, Tom Chambers, is now the favourite. Presumably the British public voting in the competition are predominantly female and think he’s a bit of a sweetie (Austin, you really shouldn’t have gone for the open pink silk shirt option). Although I suspect the dodgy voting from last week might count against him. And while Rachel is undoubtedly, with all her record-breaking scores, the best remaining dancer, she doesn’t seem to gel well with the audience. Lisa has the girl next door appeal, she’s cute without being overtly sexy, she’s been knocked down and got back up again, and again. And she doesn’t take herself too seriously. Us Brits like an underdog. My money’s on Lisa.
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2008 has been a year of surprises. We entered the year with Clinton the favorite to take the Democrat nomination and therefore the White House. Economists predicted that the sub-prime issue was working its way through the system and wouldn’t result in recession. In tech, Digg getting bought was much tipped by pundits. And the Patriots were widely expected to win the Super Bowl and complete an unbeaten season.
That none of these things happened makes some people question the wisdom of making New Year’s predictions. However making predictions is really no different to sports betting. And we know in sports betting, while many people bet, only a small number of people consistently make money. That is why we are launching the Hubdub New Year Pundit Awards to help find those winners.
The awards will review predictions for 2008 made by journalists and bloggers 12 months ago. Any journalist or blogger with a reasonable following is eligible provided they made at least 5 public predictions by the 2nd week of January 2008. Each set of predictions will be judged against three criteria: clarity, accuracy and unobviousness. There will be five categories: politics, business, entertainment, technology and sport.
The winner of the category will win one of these beautiful engraved quaichs (pictured) popularly used in Scotland for drinking a wee dram of whisky. We hope it will help these prophetic pundits as they peer into 2009. At the other end of the spectrum we will also be awarding a wooden spoon for the pundit who got 2008 most spectacularly wrong.
In the next post we will list the pundits that are currently nominated for each category. Please use the comments to suggest other pundits we’ve missed out. We’ll take nominations right up to the 31st of December with the winner being announced on Monday the 5th of January 2009.
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On Hubdub we spend our time making predictions about the future. Successful Hubdubbers know that making consistently accurate predictions requires researching them in detail (and then making predictions on only those questions). Over the past 11 months I’ve spoken to many of our top users and always been amazingly impressed at the depth of knowledge that backs up their predictions. Therefore we decided to launch News Pundits to let some of our top users share their thoughts more widely.
Only Hubdubbers with a consistent track record of accuracy will be invited to post about subjects of their expertise. Therefore readers of this blog can rest assured that the predictions you get here are a lot more likely to be accurate than those from more well-known news pundits.
