Oscar Predictions
The announcement of the 81st Oscar nominations are only a week and a half away, but after the flurry of award shows the past month, much of the mystery surrounding the awards is rapidly fading.
Four films are near locks for best picture nominations (Slumdog, Benjamin Button, Frost/Nixon and Milk) The only real wild card in the race, the Dark Knight, is looking better and better for a spot in the final five — however, the nomination is unlikely to do it any good because Slumdog seems to be walking away with all the bling this awards season.
My Prediction: Slumdog Millionaire, Benjamin Button, Frost/Nixon, Milk, Dark Knight
The real story in the Best Actor category is not who will win (Sean Penn) but who will be nominated. Although Sean Penn, Mickey Rourke and Frank Langella are all widely expected to be nominated, the final two spots are being highly contested by three candidates: Brad Pitt, Clint Eastwood and Leonardo Dicaprio. A month ago, I would have poured my money into Benjamin Button but although the movie is still receiving amazing press, Pitt’s role has largely been chalked up to amazing special effects and make-up. Sadly, I think he will find himself sitting in the cold this time around.
My Prediction: Sean Penn, Mickey Rourke, Frank Langella, Clint Eastwood, Leonardo Dicaprio
Of the biggies, the Best Actress race is the most highly contested this year. Early favoite Meryl Streep has been steadily losing momentum through the awards season and now instead of an expected winner, there’s a good chance that she may not even make the nominee shortlist. Kate Winslet’s last flim with Leo, Titanic, earned her a nomination although he was shut out. It would seem to be poetic justice should he be nominated this time around for Revolutionary Road and she not, but at the moment that seems more likely that they will both receive nominations. I give this one to Anne Hathaway on sheer hutzpah. Anyone who has the audacity to release a stinker like Bride Wars during Academy ballot voting deserves some respect.
My prediction: Anne Hathaway, Kate Winslet, Kristen Scott Thomas, Sally Hawkins, Meryl Streep
Check back on the 22nd to see how I did with the nominees and place your bets on the final winners! Feel free to post your own predictions in the comments, but be sure to put your h$ where your mouth is on the linked market pages!
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