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Hubdub Hot Predictions This Week

April 6th, 2009

Hubdub’s Hot Predictions this week, as decided by Hubdub users and staff, are selected based on their newsworthiness for the week. These stories are bound to be big news this week - and we have forecasts on how they’re likely to turn out.

Politics
With the recent forcing out of GM´s CEO Richard Wagoner by the Obama administration, users on Hubdub have begun asking who´s next? The banks haven´t been behaving well, so how about ousting a Bank of America CEO? Hubdubbers give the chance of that happening 51%.

Entertainment
Many want the source of the new Wolverine X-Men movie internet leak arrested and convicted, but that doesn´t mean it´s going to happen. First they´ll likely have to identify exactly who leaked the movie, and the chance of that happening in the next 3 weeks is only 44%.

World
Even with some new found European love for America following Barack Obama´s visit, old habits die hard. Spanish judge Balthazar Garzon, famous for arresting Chilean Dictator Pinochet now has a new target, the Bush administration. Six officials are under investigation, including Alberto Gonzalez and Hubdub forecasts at least two will be ordered arrested by Garzon.

Sports
The 2009 Masters is around the corner. Who will be the champion this year? Hubdub forecasts Tiger Woods, Steve Stricker or Stewart Cink have a 38% chance of wearing the green jacket this Sunday when the competition ends.

Business
Is a new gas prices spike in our near, near future? Although some analysts are predicting a new surge in oil prices, for the immediate future Hubdub  sees only a moderate rise in prices. Forecasting it´s most likely by April 12th the national average for a gallon of regular unleaded will be $2.050 - $2.074.

Trading percentages given are at time of posting and may not match up with markets after the fact due to Hubdub users forecasting on said markets.

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Hubdub Hot Predictions This Week

February 23rd, 2009

Hubdub’s Hot Predictions this week, as decided by Hubdub users and staff, are selected based on their newsworthiness for the week. These stories are bound to be big news this week - and we have forecasts on how they’re likely to turn out.

Politics
The last weeks for the Obama administration haven’t been a honeymoon. The DJIA collapse last week, mismatched nominations and a severe lack of bipartisanship have brought Obama’s job approval to just over 60%. Obame rode to the White House on flames of glory, but in the last weeks those flames have certainly dimmed. On a bright note though Hubdub forecasts Obama has a 68% chance of ending his first 100 days with a 60-69%  approval rating.

Who would’ve guessed Roland Burris would be back in the news again so quickly? His last inklings of support are diminishing by the hour as politicians and some at the White House turn the other cheek. Sadly though, Hubdub predicts this old dog won’t be put down just yet. Giving him a 51% chance of survival till July 31st.

Business
If you’d like good news on the finance markets stay away from the Hubdub market regarding what will be the lowest close for the DJIA in 2009. For now the DJIA is still trading above 7000, but Hubdub forecasts there’s a combined 86% chance that the DJIA drops below 7000 in 2009.

It’s funny how even small remarks can drive the markets in different directions. Last week when speculation from Senator Dodd and others hinted towards bank nationalization, the markets dropped significantly. Will Citigroup or Bank of America actually be nationalized? Hard to say, Hubdub gives bank nationalization a 48% chance.

Sports
Tiger Woods just had a baby, and is also coming back from a major injury. Fortunately Woods is the kind of guy who can do anything, or at least mostly anything… At Hubdub we forecast he probably won’t get first place in his first tournament, but second to fifth place isn’t half bad!

Trading percentages given are at time of posting and may not match up with markets after the fact due to Hubdub users forecasting on said markets.

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